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Showa Paxxs Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026

1 Day

5,619.61

decreased by 40.57

1 Week

5,841.76

increased by 181.58

1 Month

7,081.85

increased by 1,421.67

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 07:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Showa Paxxs Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 5, 1999 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 91 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3678
7.65***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0538
7.50***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9386
116.42***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0069
-2.02**

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

91 days