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V-Lab

Showa Paxxs Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, September 24th, 2026

1 Day

9,891.65

increased by 1,060.77

1 Week

9,361.27

increased by 530.39

1 Month

6,773.26

decreased by 2,057.62

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 10:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Showa Paxxs Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 5, 1999 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 94 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.993, shock half-life ~94 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.3784
7.60***
αARCH0.0539
7.54***
βGARCH0.9388
117.36***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0065
-1.90*

0.993

Persistence

94d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3784
7.60***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0539
7.54***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9388
117.36***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0065
-1.90*

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

94 days