V-Lab
Showa Paxxs Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026
1 Day
5,619.61
decreased by 40.57
1 Week
5,841.76
increased by 181.58
1 Month
7,081.85
increased by 1,421.67
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 07:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 5, 1999 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 91 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3678 | 7.65*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0538 | 7.50*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9386 | 116.42*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0069 | -2.02** |
Persistence:
0.992
Half-life:
91 days
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