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Collabos Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 21st, 2026

1 Day

7,954.88

increased by 4,456.24

1 Week

4,764.89

increased by 1,266.25

1 Month

4,528.54

increased by 1,029.90

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 07:34 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/20/2024

to

10/20/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Collabos Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 17, 2015 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 273 trading days (~1.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~273 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.8945
4.85***
αARCH0.1867
11.84***
βGARCH0.8108
51.41***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0467
-3.69***

0.997

Persistence

273d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8945
4.85***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1867
11.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8108
51.41***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0467
-3.69***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

273 days