Odk Solutions Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
9,303.70
increased by 2,998.75
1 Week
6,787.25
increased by 482.30
1 Month
3,811.60
decreased by 2,493.35
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 07:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 9, 2007 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 457 trading days (~1.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0354 | 5.91*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1557 | 10.69*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8428 | 57.88*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -0.0689 | -5.41*** |
| γ2 | 0.1167 | 4.85*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
457 days
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