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Odk Solutions Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

7,943.04

increased by 3,183.53

1 Week

5,217.81

increased by 458.30

1 Month

3,173.81

decreased by 1,585.70

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 07:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Odk Solutions Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 9, 2007 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 63% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
3.75***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0918
20.34***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8795
319.11***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0575
7.10***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days