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V-Lab

Ecomic Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

3,890.00

increased by 118.68

1 Week

4,432.38

increased by 661.06

1 Month

4,455.85

increased by 684.53

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ecomic Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 5, 2006 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 24 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5141
6.62***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1486
11.13***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8229
54.56***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ1-1.1863
-3.93***
γ21.2114
2.41**
γ30.0607
0.13
γ4-0.6606
-1.47
γ51.6550
4.80***
γ6-2.0238
-4.23***
γ71.4743
2.04**
γ8-0.5425
-0.68

Persistence:

0.971

Half-life:

24 days