V-Lab
Encourage Technologies Co Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
4,925.89
increased by 338.83
1 Week
4,568.30
decreased by 18.76
1 Month
4,700.89
increased by 113.83
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 07:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 12, 2013 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 42 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0227 | 9.66*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1383 | 11.74*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8454 | 63.62*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0094 | 1.69* |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
42 days
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