Ekitan & Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
5,692.81
decreased by 60.80
1 Week
5,918.21
increased by 164.60
1 Month
7,638.66
increased by 1,885.05
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 07:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 3, 2011 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 83 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.1704 | 5.21*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1658 | 8.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8259 | 43.77*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0318 | 4.92*** |
Persistence:
0.992
Half-life:
83 days
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