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Coxon Precise Ind Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 14th, 2026

1 Day

6,963.63

increased by 87.18

1 Week

6,024.04

decreased by 852.41

1 Month

4,441.48

decreased by 2,434.97

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/13/2024

to

10/13/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Coxon Precise Ind Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 28, 2008 to Oct 8, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 800 trading days (~3.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~800 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.3418
3.94***
αARCH0.1585
6.89***
βGARCH0.8406
36.12***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0081
1.09

0.999

Persistence

800d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3418
3.94***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1585
6.89***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8406
36.12***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0081
1.09

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

800 days