Medix Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026
1 Day
7,969.09
increased by 6,643.95
1 Week
2,762.25
increased by 1,437.11
1 Month
2,494.14
increased by 1,169.00
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 08:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 20, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 17 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.7260 | 4.69*** |
| αARCH | 0.1548 | 3.12*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8057 | 13.18*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -1.3467 | -2.15** |
0.961
Persistence17d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7260 | 4.69*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1548 | 3.12*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8057 | 13.18*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -1.3467 | -2.15** |
Persistence:
0.961
Half-life:
17 days
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