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Hunt Electronic Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

2,808.73

increased by 495.35

1 Week

2,633.70

increased by 320.32

1 Month

6,546.93

increased by 4,233.55

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 09:11 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/29/2024

to

09/29/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hunt Electronic Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 20, 2005 to Sep 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1338 trading days (~5.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~1338 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst3.8615
1.85*
αARCH0.2243
8.82***
βGARCH0.7752
30.51***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-0.2267
-0.28
γ2-1.2404
-0.72
γ36.1220
1.18
γ4-10.6958
-1.37
γ511.5731
1.61
γ6-8.2766
-1.82*
γ72.9492
1.87*
γ8-0.3660
-0.86
γ90.5667
0.73

0.999

Persistence

1338d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.8615
1.85*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2243
8.82***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7752
30.51***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-0.2267
-0.28
γ2-1.2404
-0.72
γ36.1220
1.18
γ4-10.6958
-1.37
γ511.5731
1.61
γ6-8.2766
-1.82*
γ72.9492
1.87*
γ8-0.3660
-0.86
γ90.5667
0.73

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

1338 days