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MeiG Smart Technology Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 28th, 2026

1 Day

25,925.75

increased by 19,752.63

1 Week

8,101.74

increased by 1,928.62

1 Month

3,921.05

decreased by 2,252.07

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 07:28 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

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graph of MeiG Smart Technology Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 9, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0933
4.40***
αARCH0.4156
1.62
βGARCH0.1370
0.61
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-2.1875
-0.43

0.553

Persistence

1d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0933
4.40***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4156
1.62
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.1370
0.61
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-2.1875
-0.43

Persistence:

0.553

Half-life:

1 days