V-Lab
MeiG Smart Technology Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 28th, 2026
1 Day
25,925.75
increased by 19,752.63
1 Week
8,101.74
increased by 1,928.62
1 Month
3,921.05
decreased by 2,252.07
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 07:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 9, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.0933 | 4.40*** |
| αARCH | 0.4156 | 1.62 |
| βGARCH | 0.1370 | 0.61 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -2.1875 | -0.43 |
0.553
Persistence1d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0933 | 4.40*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4156 | 1.62 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1370 | 0.61 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -2.1875 | -0.43 |
Persistence:
0.553
Half-life:
1 days
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