Sld Entertainment Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 27th, 2026
1 Day
7,649.56
increased by 4,862.26
1 Week
3,740.06
increased by 952.76
1 Month
4,360.33
increased by 1,573.03
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 08:30 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 19, 2015 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 166 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.996, shock half-life ~166 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.1543 | 4.92*** |
| αARCH | 0.1295 | 7.78*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8663 | 47.46*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0370 | -2.49** |
0.996
Persistence166d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1543 | 4.92*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1295 | 7.78*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8663 | 47.46*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0370 | -2.49** |
Persistence:
0.996
Half-life:
166 days
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