V-Lab
SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
7,360.78
increased by 3,261.43
1 Week
5,051.71
increased by 952.36
1 Month
3,699.68
decreased by 399.67
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 07:01 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 31, 1996 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 5022 trading days (~19.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5802 | 3.42*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2162 | 2.26** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7837 | 8.18*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=7
| γ1 | -1.1420 | -5.21*** |
| γ2 | 3.4087 | 6.38*** |
| γ3 | -3.8814 | -7.70*** |
| γ4 | 1.8588 | 9.06*** |
| γ5 | -0.1193 | -0.78 |
| γ6 | -0.1270 | -0.59 |
| γ7 | -0.1343 | -0.63 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
5022 days
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