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SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

7,360.78

increased by 3,261.43

1 Week

5,051.71

increased by 952.36

1 Month

3,699.68

decreased by 399.67

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 07:01 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 31, 1996 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 5022 trading days (~19.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5802
3.42***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2162
2.26**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7837
8.18***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-1.1420
-5.21***
γ23.4087
6.38***
γ3-3.8814
-7.70***
γ41.8588
9.06***
γ5-0.1193
-0.78
γ6-0.1270
-0.59
γ7-0.1343
-0.63

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

5022 days