V-Lab
Tokyo Ichiban Foods Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026
1 Day
7,097.51
increased by 4,021.17
1 Week
3,653.14
increased by 576.80
1 Month
3,293.27
increased by 216.93
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 07:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 26, 2006 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 20 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3349 | 4.05*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1736 | 11.12*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7917 | 43.53*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=6
| γ1 | -0.4504 | -5.25*** |
| γ2 | 0.2180 | 1.65* |
| γ3 | 0.5782 | 6.48*** |
| γ4 | -0.4713 | -6.71*** |
| γ5 | 0.1575 | 2.23** |
| γ6 | 0.0402 | 0.34 |
Persistence:
0.965
Half-life:
20 days
Other Tokyo Ichiban Foods Co Ltd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities