Powercom Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
6,789.04
increased by 728.94
1 Week
6,475.33
increased by 415.23
1 Month
4,998.97
decreased by 1,061.13
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 23, 2003 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 650 trading days (~2.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.6312 | 5.71*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1885 | 13.94*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8105 | 59.87*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | 0.0969 | 2.50** |
| γ2 | -0.1149 | -1.94* |
| γ3 | 0.0474 | 0.97 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
650 days
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