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Powercom Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

6,789.04

increased by 728.94

1 Week

6,475.33

increased by 415.23

1 Month

4,998.97

decreased by 1,061.13

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:13 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Powercom Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 23, 2003 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 650 trading days (~2.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.6312
5.71***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1885
13.94***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8105
59.87***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ10.0969
2.50**
γ2-0.1149
-1.94*
γ30.0474
0.97

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

650 days