Powercom Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
6,929.19
1 Week
6,557.82
1 Month
4,933.74
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 23, 2003 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2196 | 0.07 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8038 | 272.75*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2196 | -0.04 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 8.6895 | 0.07 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0134 | 0.14 |
Persistence:
0.914
Half-life:
8 days
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