V-Lab
Runa Smart Equipment Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
554.59
decreased by 70.50
1 Week
555.17
decreased by 69.92
1 Month
492.72
decreased by 132.37
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 11:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 2, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 18 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.7972 | 8.98*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1504 | 7.73*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8113 | 30.64*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.1148 | -2.55** |
Persistence:
0.962
Half-life:
18 days
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