V-Lab
SANVO Fine Chemicals Group Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
2,929.79
decreased by 245.88
1 Week
3,735.91
increased by 560.24
1 Month
4,166.66
increased by 990.99
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 16, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3299 | 4.02*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0905 | 3.11*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7071 | 6.19*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -0.9894 | -0.20 |
| γ2 | -5.2575 | -0.65 |
| γ3 | 9.3399 | 1.38 |
| γ4 | 0.8673 | 0.14 |
| γ5 | -13.5841 | -2.48** |
| γ6 | 22.5515 | 5.21*** |
| γ7 | -27.5331 | -6.53*** |
| γ8 | 24.2331 | 4.44*** |
| γ9 | -11.1846 | -2.04** |
| γ10 | -15.3234 | -2.79*** |
Persistence:
0.798
Half-life:
3 days
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