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SANVO Fine Chemicals Group Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

2,929.79

decreased by 245.88

1 Week

3,735.91

increased by 560.24

1 Month

4,166.66

increased by 990.99

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of SANVO Fine Chemicals Group Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 16, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3299
4.02***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0905
3.11***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7071
6.19***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.9894
-0.20
γ2-5.2575
-0.65
γ39.3399
1.38
γ40.8673
0.14
γ5-13.5841
-2.48**
γ622.5515
5.21***
γ7-27.5331
-6.53***
γ824.2331
4.44***
γ9-11.1846
-2.04**
γ10-15.3234
-2.79***

Persistence:

0.798

Half-life:

3 days