Laxus Technologies Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026
1 Day
8,039.81
increased by 2,807.59
1 Week
5,825.06
increased by 592.84
1 Month
4,499.42
decreased by 732.80
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 07:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 13, 2024 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 11 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.5295 | 6.18*** |
| αARCH | 0.1100 | 3.35*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8285 | 18.21*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.1473 | 0.47 |
0.939
Persistence11d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5295 | 6.18*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1100 | 3.35*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8285 | 18.21*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.1473 | 0.47 |
Persistence:
0.939
Half-life:
11 days
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