V-Lab
SSR Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
5,932.22
increased by 4,989.67
1 Week
1,905.40
increased by 962.85
1 Month
1,003.24
increased by 60.69
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 08:59 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 6, 2018 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 82 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9107 | 5.34*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1911 | 12.20*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8004 | 49.71*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0373 | 2.00** |
Persistence:
0.992
Half-life:
82 days
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