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Kura Sushi Asia Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

13,241.35

increased by 7,464.30

1 Week

5,843.83

increased by 66.78

1 Month

4,373.63

decreased by 1,403.42

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 09:13 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Kura Sushi Asia Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 28, 2019 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 11 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.3895
1.37
αARCH0.2250
5.85***
βGARCH0.7152
13.63***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-16.7339
-6.61***
γ227.0411
8.74***
γ3-15.4528
-16.13***
γ48.3900
11.63***
γ5-3.8856
-4.95***
γ60.3029
0.29
γ70.0877
0.06

0.940

Persistence

11d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3895
1.37
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2250
5.85***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7152
13.63***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-16.7339
-6.61***
γ227.0411
8.74***
γ3-15.4528
-16.13***
γ48.3900
11.63***
γ5-3.8856
-4.95***
γ60.3029
0.29
γ70.0877
0.06

Persistence:

0.940

Half-life:

11 days