V-Lab
Green Cross Holdings Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 31st, 2026
1 Day
4,686.70
increased by 1,920.73
1 Week
3,149.68
increased by 383.71
1 Month
3,214.52
increased by 448.55
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 07:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 4, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4156 | 4.61*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0632 | 1.53 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8142 | 5.20*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.4679 | -0.76 |
Persistence:
0.877
Half-life:
5 days
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