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V-Lab

Green Cross Holdings Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 31st, 2026

1 Day

4,686.70

increased by 1,920.73

1 Week

3,149.68

increased by 383.71

1 Month

3,214.52

increased by 448.55

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 07:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Green Cross Holdings Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 4, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4156
4.61***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0632
1.53
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8142
5.20***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.4679
-0.76

Persistence:

0.877

Half-life:

5 days