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Zhejiang Galaxis Technology Group Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

6,796.06

decreased by 392.98

1 Week

6,942.72

decreased by 246.32

1 Month

6,453.45

decreased by 735.59

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/29/2024

to

09/29/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Zhejiang Galaxis Technology Group Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 24, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9459
3.27***
αARCH0.1161
1.53
βGARCH0.7313
3.76***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-1.4690
-0.22

0.847

Persistence

4d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9459
3.27***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1161
1.53
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7313
3.76***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-1.4690
-0.22

Persistence:

0.847

Half-life:

4 days