V-Lab
Zhejiang Galaxis Technology Group Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026
1 Day
6,796.06
decreased by 392.98
1 Week
6,942.72
decreased by 246.32
1 Month
6,453.45
decreased by 735.59
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 24, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.9459 | 3.27*** |
| αARCH | 0.1161 | 1.53 |
| βGARCH | 0.7313 | 3.76*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -1.4690 | -0.22 |
0.847
Persistence4d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9459 | 3.27*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1161 | 1.53 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7313 | 3.76*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -1.4690 | -0.22 |
Persistence:
0.847
Half-life:
4 days
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