How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

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How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

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Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	3.2412	10.00***
αARCH	0.0990	1.22
βGARCH	0.0000	0.00

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	3.2412	10.00***
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0990	1.22
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.0000	0.00

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Shanghai Able Digital Science & Tech Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Illiquidity Forecast

Parameter Estimates

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