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V-Lab

Guangzhou Innogen Pharmaceut Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

2,633.63

increased by 47.15

1 Week

2,241.45

decreased by 345.03

1 Month

4,037.88

increased by 1,451.40

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 06:44 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Guangzhou Innogen Pharmaceut ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 15, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.5522
6.00***
αARCH0.3128
4.92***
βGARCH0.5023
5.52***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-1.2281
-1.01

0.815

Persistence

3d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5522
6.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3128
4.92***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5023
5.52***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-1.2281
-1.01

Persistence:

0.815

Half-life:

3 days