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Mokingran Jewellery Group Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, November 16th, 2026

1 Day

6,949.94

unchanged at 0.00

1 Week

6,705.79

decreased by 244.15

1 Month

5,646.06

decreased by 1,303.88

Analysis last updated: Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/13/2024

to

11/13/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Mokingran Jewellery Group Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 29, 2024 to Nov 13, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 8 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6479
3.23***
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9205
9.70***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ1-4.5883
-0.42
γ219.1402
1.16
γ3-27.6102
-1.69*
γ443.2736
2.01**
γ5-104.4687
-3.41***
γ6139.8892
4.38***
γ7-99.2273
-4.28***
γ858.6275
3.02***

0.921

Persistence

8d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6479
3.23***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9205
9.70***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ1-4.5883
-0.42
γ219.1402
1.16
γ3-27.6102
-1.69*
γ443.2736
2.01**
γ5-104.4687
-3.41***
γ6139.8892
4.38***
γ7-99.2273
-4.28***
γ858.6275
3.02***

Persistence:

0.921

Half-life:

8 days