V-Lab
Zhejiang Taimei Medical Technology Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026
1 Day
5,782.23
decreased by 677.30
1 Week
5,189.27
decreased by 1,270.26
1 Month
4,188.25
decreased by 2,271.28
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 06:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 8, 2024 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 86643 trading days (~343.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7912 | 0.32 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3048 | 0.01 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6952 | 0.01 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -7.7277 | -0.01 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
86643 days
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