V-Lab
Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
69,649.58
decreased by 26,318.71
1 Week
52,662.18
decreased by 43,306.11
1 Month
35,257.69
decreased by 60,710.60
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 09:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 20, 2024 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 9242 trading days (~36.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~9242 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.9521 | 5.14*** |
| αARCH | 0.4991 | 8.47*** |
| βGARCH | 0.5008 | 8.50*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | -27.1779 | -2.91*** |
| γ2 | 23.5015 | 1.84* |
| γ3 | 13.7154 | 2.21** |
| γ4 | -11.5829 | -1.74* |
1.000
Persistence9242d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9521 | 5.14*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4991 | 8.47*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5008 | 8.50*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | -27.1779 | -2.91*** |
| γ2 | 23.5015 | 1.84* |
| γ3 | 13.7154 | 2.21** |
| γ4 | -11.5829 | -1.74* |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
9242 days
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