V-Lab
LC Logistics Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026
1 Day
9,090.56
decreased by 198.01
1 Week
7,553.71
decreased by 1,734.86
1 Month
7,441.32
decreased by 1,847.25
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 06:56 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 22, 2023 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 30 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1461 | 4.24*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1359 | 5.01*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8412 | 34.45*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0512 | 0.28 |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
30 days
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