V-Lab
System Location Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
6,342.77
decreased by 618.01
1 Week
7,078.16
increased by 117.38
1 Month
8,338.30
increased by 1,377.52
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 21, 2006 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 201 trading days (~0.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6332 | 2.87*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1669 | 12.69*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8296 | 60.00*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=5
| γ1 | -0.7501 | -7.63*** |
| γ2 | 1.1586 | 6.80*** |
| γ3 | -0.6630 | -4.24*** |
| γ4 | 0.3828 | 2.67*** |
| γ5 | -0.1694 | -0.85 |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
201 days
Other System Location Co Ltd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities