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System Location Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

6,342.77

decreased by 618.01

1 Week

7,078.16

increased by 117.38

1 Month

8,338.30

increased by 1,377.52

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:12 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of System Location Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 21, 2006 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 201 trading days (~0.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6332
2.87***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1669
12.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8296
60.00***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-0.7501
-7.63***
γ21.1586
6.80***
γ3-0.6630
-4.24***
γ40.3828
2.67***
γ5-0.1694
-0.85

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

201 days