V-Lab
Tsann Kuen Enterprise Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026
1 Day
9,686.76
increased by 3,154.30
1 Week
7,537.57
increased by 1,005.11
1 Month
4,578.20
decreased by 1,954.26
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 09:17 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 8, 2001 to Sep 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 297 trading days (~1.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~297 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.2633 | 3.23*** |
| αARCH | 0.1939 | 17.98*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8038 | 73.15*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0025 | -0.68 |
0.998
Persistence297d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2633 | 3.23*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1939 | 17.98*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8038 | 73.15*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0025 | -0.68 |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
297 days
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