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V-Lab

Kd Chem Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

5,854.94

decreased by 1,019.82

1 Week

3,619.83

decreased by 3,254.93

1 Month

2,724.69

decreased by 4,150.07

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kd Chem Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 19, 2015 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 30 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5982
5.66***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1339
8.20***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8433
42.62***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-0.1689
-4.47***
γ20.3598
5.34***

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

30 days