V-Lab
Integroup Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 28th, 2026
1 Day
7,455.98
decreased by 1,905.69
1 Week
5,857.06
decreased by 3,504.61
1 Month
4,060.06
decreased by 5,301.61
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 07:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 18, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 11 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5144 | 3.22*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1985 | 2.45** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7378 | 8.38*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0464 | 0.12 |
Persistence:
0.936
Half-life:
11 days
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