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Xin Point Holdings Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

10,811.44

increased by 6,924.16

1 Week

4,864.36

increased by 977.08

1 Month

4,654.74

increased by 767.46

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 06:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Xin Point Holdings Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 28, 2017 to Sep 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 99021 trading days (~392.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~99021 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.3405
0.01
αARCH0.1967
0.00
βGARCH0.8033
0.01
γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ12.6829
0.00
γ2-6.6463
-0.01
γ36.4848
0.01
γ4-5.0206
-0.01
γ53.7755
0.01
γ6-1.1479
0.00

1.000

Persistence

99021d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3405
0.01
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1967
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8033
0.01
γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ12.6829
0.00
γ2-6.6463
-0.01
γ36.4848
0.01
γ4-5.0206
-0.01
γ53.7755
0.01
γ6-1.1479
0.00

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

99021 days