V-Lab
Triocean Industrial Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 13th, 2026
1 Day
9,938.35
increased by 4,931.71
1 Week
6,985.82
increased by 1,979.18
1 Month
4,377.17
decreased by 629.47
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 09:01 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 8, 2002 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1650 trading days (~6.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.1180 | 1.90* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2117 | 14.85*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7879 | 54.90*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0019 | -0.84 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1650 days
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