Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Acelon Chemicals & Fiber Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, November 6th, 2026

1 Day

6,752.93

increased by 1,714.34

1 Week

5,631.12

increased by 592.53

1 Month

5,315.16

increased by 276.57

Analysis last updated: Friday, November 6, 2026 at 09:57 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

11/05/2024

to

11/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Acelon Chemicals & Fiber ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 8, 2002 to Nov 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 158 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.996, shock half-life ~158 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst6.3228
6.13***
αARCH0.1396
11.21***
βGARCH0.8560
65.03***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0264
5.51***

0.996

Persistence

158d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

6.3228
6.13***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1396
11.21***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8560
65.03***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0264
5.51***

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

158 days