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L IS B Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026

1 Day

6,125.51

increased by 3,188.08

1 Week

3,833.98

increased by 896.55

1 Month

4,750.92

increased by 1,813.49

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 07:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of L IS B Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 26, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 242 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0189
5.43***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1146
5.20***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8826
38.98***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.1809
0.30

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

242 days