V-Lab
Nien Hsing Textile Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, September 17th, 2026
1 Day
8,696.12
increased by 5,143.01
1 Week
4,333.88
increased by 780.77
1 Month
3,286.38
decreased by 266.73
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 08:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 23, 1994 to Sep 14, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 33 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.0442 | 6.38*** |
| αARCH | 0.1527 | 13.43*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8267 | 60.44*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0032 | 2.92*** |
0.979
Persistence33d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0442 | 6.38*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1527 | 13.43*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8267 | 60.44*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0032 | 2.92*** |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
33 days
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