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Hsing Ta Cement Co Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 28th, 2026

1 Day

5,700.39

increased by 185.87

1 Week

4,232.95

decreased by 1,281.57

1 Month

2,831.43

decreased by 2,683.09

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 08:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hsing Ta Cement Co ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 23, 1994 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 774 trading days (~3.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2423
3.61***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1140
16.25***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8851
123.57***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0068
-4.29***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

774 days