V-Lab
Hsing Ta Cement Co Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 28th, 2026
1 Day
5,700.39
increased by 185.87
1 Week
4,232.95
decreased by 1,281.57
1 Month
2,831.43
decreased by 2,683.09
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 08:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 23, 1994 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 774 trading days (~3.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2423 | 3.61*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1140 | 16.25*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8851 | 123.57*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0068 | -4.29*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
774 days
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