Damai Entertainment Holdings Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
264.61
decreased by 68.44
1 Week
367.64
increased by 34.59
1 Month
342.34
increased by 9.29
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 08:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 12, 1994 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 77016 trading days (~305.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4436 | 0.07 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2115 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7885 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=6
| γ1 | 0.0574 | 0.00 |
| γ2 | -0.1172 | 0.00 |
| γ3 | -0.4240 | -0.01 |
| γ4 | 1.0328 | 0.01 |
| γ5 | -0.6908 | -0.09 |
| γ6 | 0.0409 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
77016 days
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