V-Lab
Damai Entertainment Holdings Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
486.07
increased by 67.09
1 Week
307.12
decreased by 111.86
1 Month
286.67
decreased by 132.31
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 12, 1994 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 63013 trading days (~250.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4682 | 0.01 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2184 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7816 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | 0.5000 | 0.00 |
| γ2 | -0.7950 | 0.00 |
| γ3 | 0.3813 | 0.01 |
| γ4 | -0.6817 | -0.01 |
| γ5 | 0.8070 | 0.01 |
| γ6 | 0.0569 | 0.00 |
| γ7 | -0.3072 | -0.01 |
| γ8 | 0.0365 | 0.00 |
| γ9 | -0.3076 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
63013 days
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