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Zhejiang Shibao Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026

1 Day

12,355.75

increased by 1,972.90

1 Week

8,837.66

decreased by 1,545.19

1 Month

3,217.26

decreased by 7,165.59

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 06:58 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/07/2024

to

10/07/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Zhejiang Shibao Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 9, 2011 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 41 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst6.8316
4.75***
αARCH0.2559
11.45***
βGARCH0.7274
38.18***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-0.1804
-1.19
γ20.8315
3.50***
γ3-1.3088
-8.02***
γ41.0012
8.12***
γ5-0.5709
-3.04***

0.983

Persistence

41d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

6.8316
4.75***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2559
11.45***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7274
38.18***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-0.1804
-1.19
γ20.8315
3.50***
γ3-1.3088
-8.02***
γ41.0012
8.12***
γ5-0.5709
-3.04***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

41 days