V-Lab
Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026
1 Day
2,400.07
decreased by 83.78
1 Week
2,746.91
increased by 263.06
1 Month
4,439.80
increased by 1,955.95
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 06:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 30, 2026 to Sep 14, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.7295 | 6.39*** |
| αARCH | 0.2309 | 2.56** |
| βGARCH | 0.3917 | 1.09 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -16.1644 | -2.88*** |
0.623
Persistence1d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7295 | 6.39*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2309 | 2.56** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3917 | 1.09 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -16.1644 | -2.88*** |
Persistence:
0.623
Half-life:
1 days
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