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Epiroc Ab Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

3,708.78

decreased by 588.90

1 Week

4,447.53

increased by 149.85

1 Month

3,700.92

decreased by 596.76

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 08:31 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Epiroc Ab ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 8, 2018 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 467 trading days (~1.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5516
2.03**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1948
4.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8037
18.85***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-1.6249
-0.19
γ29.1343
0.76
γ3-19.3917
-2.19**
γ418.4976
3.08***
γ5-11.5164
-1.69*
γ63.6813
0.28
γ722.5743
1.21
γ8-39.8353
-1.91*
γ920.9029
1.67*
γ10-1.5710
-0.29

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

467 days