V-Lab
Epiroc Ab Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
8,559.42
decreased by 1,008.71
1 Week
9,721.91
increased by 153.78
1 Month
7,618.91
decreased by 1,949.22
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 8, 2018 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 447 trading days (~1.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4855 | 1.91* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1882 | 4.62*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8102 | 19.58*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -1.6119 | -0.19 |
| γ2 | 9.0688 | 0.75 |
| γ3 | -19.3560 | -2.22** |
| γ4 | 18.1041 | 3.07*** |
| γ5 | -5.7852 | -1.48 |
| γ6 | -9.4218 | -1.29 |
| γ7 | 31.9496 | 1.91* |
| γ8 | -40.3550 | -2.00** |
| γ9 | 20.2340 | 1.60 |
| γ10 | -1.3975 | -0.22 |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
447 days
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