V-Lab
Schindler Holding Ag Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026
1 Day
9,103.25
increased by 2,806.58
1 Week
5,453.67
decreased by 843.00
1 Month
3,284.81
decreased by 3,011.86
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 08:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 15, 2014 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 13 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.6969 | 2.87*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1836 | 3.78*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7647 | 12.91*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | -1.1981 | -0.74 |
| γ2 | 0.0890 | 0.03 |
| γ3 | 4.3023 | 1.58 |
| γ4 | -6.1209 | -2.87*** |
| γ5 | 5.1890 | 3.12*** |
| γ6 | -3.8016 | -3.09*** |
| γ7 | 3.3127 | 3.36*** |
| γ8 | -4.6796 | -4.33*** |
| γ9 | 7.1940 | 3.30*** |
Persistence:
0.948
Half-life:
13 days
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