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Motor & Technology Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, November 11th, 2026

1 Day

6,167.36

increased by 4,443.52

1 Week

2,701.57

increased by 977.73

1 Month

2,554.36

increased by 830.52

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 08:43 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/10/2024

to

11/10/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Motor & Technology Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 25, 2001 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 970 trading days (~3.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~970 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2591
5.52***
αARCH0.1649
16.27***
βGARCH0.8344
81.30***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0062
1.92*

0.999

Persistence

970d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2591
5.52***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1649
16.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8344
81.30***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0062
1.92*

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

970 days