V-Lab
Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies Ltd. Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Inactive
Last recorded values (Tuesday, July 14th, 2026):
1 Day
30,118.62
1 Week
41,547.42
1 Month
37,538.44
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 12, 2016 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 322 trading days (~1.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.5862 | 3.53*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5465 | 10.71*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4513 | 8.91*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0085 | 0.45 |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
322 days
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