Vanguard Ultra-Short Bond ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026:1.68% (+0.06%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.4922 | 2.38 | |
| 0.3455 | 3.80 | |
| 0.0302 | 0.52 | |
| 5.1425 | 1.99 | |
| -8.9289 | -2.61 | |
| 6.0223 | 3.65 | |
| -4.2508 | -3.26 | |
| 2.3946 | 1.97 | |
| 1.3708 | 1.06 | |
| -3.1034 | -2.99 |
Estimation Period:
Apr 7, 2021 to Feb 6, 2026
Apr 7, 2021 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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