Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026:2.54% (+0.18%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7574 | 4.48 | |
| 0.2680 | 5.73 | |
| 0.5689 | 10.55 | |
| -0.3260 | -0.65 | |
| 0.3937 | 0.57 | |
| 0.1944 | 0.52 | |
| -0.7548 | -2.02 | |
| 1.5474 | 4.18 | |
| -1.9518 | -4.77 | |
| 0.9197 | 2.24 | |
| 0.1217 | 0.43 |
Estimation Period:
Aug 25, 2015 to Feb 6, 2026
Aug 25, 2015 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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