Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 17th, 2026:2.69% (-0.20%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8599 | 6.39 | |
| 0.2826 | 5.73 | |
| 0.5728 | 11.42 | |
| -0.0170 | -0.48 | |
| 0.1624 | 2.85 | |
| -0.4144 | -6.04 |
Estimation Period:
Aug 25, 2015 to Feb 13, 2026
Aug 25, 2015 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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