Skip to main content
V-Lab

Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:1.45% (+0.04%)
Analysis last updated: Thursday, February 12, 2026 at 10:30 PM UTC
Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF S0GARCH
paramt-stat
ω0.98685.38
α0.09755.94
β0.845536.81
γ1-0.4422-2.91
γ20.97184.36
γ3-0.8472-4.94
γ40.44482.13
γ5-0.3756-1.61
γ60.87724.39
γ7-1.2015-6.58
γ80.71954.79
Estimation Period:
Nov 23, 2009 to Feb 6, 2026
Impact of return on volatility tomorrow
Volatility Forecasts